Ipswich vs Coventry Prediction

Coventry's Title Charge Continues at Struggling Ipswich

Preview

Right then, let's have a proper look at this one! Coventry are absolutely flying at the top of the table, ten points clear with a game in hand, and they're coming to town to face an Ipswich side who've forgotten where the goal is at home.

The stats don't lie here - Coventry have won 9 of their last 10 games, scoring 28 goals in the process. That's nearly three goals a game! They've been smashing teams left, right, and centre, including a brilliant 4-2 win at Middlesbrough when the Boro were flying high. Their only slip-up was a narrow 3-2 defeat at Wrexham, but they bounced back immediately.

Ipswich, on the other hand, have been proper Jekyll and Hyde. Decent enough away from home where they're banging in 2.17 goals per game, but at home? Blimey, they can't buy a goal! Just 0.5 goals per home game recently, with draws against Wrexham and Watford, and a 3-0 hammering by Charlton. That's not title-challenging form, is it?

The head-to-head's been pretty even over the years, but form matters more than history in my book. Coventry are scoring for fun away from home (2.8 goals per away game), while Ipswich are struggling to break teams down at Portman Road. The goal expectancy has Coventry at nearly two goals and Ipswich at less than one - that tells you everything you need to know.

Ipswich have also had a busier schedule recently - four games in 14 days compared to Coventry's two. That could tell come Saturday afternoon.

Look, sometimes you've got to follow the money and the form. Coventry are the best team in this division by a country mile right now, and they're playing a team that can't score at home. The odds of 3.00 for an away win look proper generous to me!

Match time
Recommended Bet
AWAY WIN
Odds
3.00
+EV
+95.0%
Estimated Chance65%
Stake & Profit
Stake:-Profit:0.00
Outcome
OPEN