Toulouse vs Le Havre Prediction

Right then, let's have a proper look at this mid-table scrap between Toulouse and Le Havre. Both sides are knocking around the same part of the table, but there's a world of difference when it comes to home and away form.

Toulouse at home are basically like watching a basketball match - they score for fun (2.6 per game) but also leave the back door wide open (2.0 conceded). Their recent home games have been absolute crackers: that 4-0 hammering of Metz, a 2-2 draw with Nantes, and let's not forget the 3-6 thriller against PSG. They're not boring, I'll give 'em that!

Le Havre on their travels? Well, they're about as potent as a chocolate teapot. Scoring just 0.8 goals per game away from home while shipping two per game isn't exactly the recipe for success. They did nick a couple of 1-0 wins recently, but getting battered 6-2 by Marseille shows what happens when they face a proper attack.

The head-to-head tells its own story - Toulouse have won five of the eight meetings, including a 4-1 thumping last time out. At home against Le Havre, they've won three out of four.

When you look at the numbers, Toulouse's home games are averaging nearly five goals per match. Le Havre can't defend away from home and Toulouse can't defend at home. That's a recipe for goals, my friends!

The bookies have got this as an even money shot for over 2.5 goals, but given how these two play, that looks like a proper gift. Both teams to score also appeals at 1.80, but I'm all about the goals here.

Key Points:

• Toulouse home games average 4.6 total goals per match

• Le Havre score just 0.8 goals away but concede 2.0

• Toulouse have won 75% of home matches against Le Havre

• Both teams have 30% clean sheet rates - defences are optional

• Last meeting ended 4-1 to Toulouse

Given the attacking intent at one end and defensive frailties at both, I'm lumping on the goals. This has all the makings of a proper end-to-end affair with plenty of action.