Venezia vs Sampdoria Prediction

Venezia to Sink Bottom-Boys Sampdoria

Preview

Right then, let's have a proper look at this one. It's a tale of two teams going in completely opposite directions in Serie B. Venezia are sitting pretty in 6th, pushing for them playoff spots, while Sampdoria are rock bottom of the league in proper relegation trouble.

When you look at the recent form, it's night and day stuff. Venezia have been decent at home - they've won 75% of their last four home games and are banging in 2.25 goals per game on their own patch. They've had some proper good results too, like that 3-0 hammering of Frosinone who're third in the table. They know how to defend at home as well, only letting in half a goal per game.

Sampdoria? Blimey, where do I start. They're absolutely shocking away from home - not won a single away game all season. They're only managing 0.8 goals per game on their travels while shipping nearly two goals per game. Their only win this season came against Pescara, who are second bottom themselves. They even lost 0-1 at home to Mantova in their last game, and Mantova are third from bottom!

The head-to-head shows Venezia have the edge with two wins from four meetings, though that last game was a 5-3 goal fest. But given how tight Venezia are at home and how toothless Sampdoria are away, I can't see another high-scoring affair.

Venezia have got that home advantage, they're scoring for fun at home, and they're up against a team that can't buy a win on the road. Sometimes the simple bet is the best bet, and this looks straightforward to me.

Match time
Recommended Bet
HOME WIN
Odds
1.70
+EV
+15.6%
Estimated Chance68%
Stake & Profit
Stake:-Profit:0.00
Outcome
OPEN