Mantova vs Padova Prediction

Right then, let's fire up the braai and look at this one! Mantova are having an absolute shocker, sitting 17th with just 8 points from 11 games. They've only managed 2 wins all season and their home form is terrible - conceding 2.60 goals per game at home! That's worse than my attempts at cooking vegetables... whatever those are.

Padova on the other hand are sitting pretty in 11th with 14 points. They're solid as a rock away from home too - only letting in 0.60 goals per game on their travels. Recent form shows they're hard to beat with draws against Sudtirol (1-1), Spezia (1-1), and Juve Stabia (2-2). They've also picked up decent away wins at Catanzaro (0-1) and Monza (0-1).

Now here's the killer stat - Mantova have NEVER beaten Padova at home! That's right, 0 wins in 5 home meetings. Padova have won 5 out of 9 overall against Mantova, including a 5-0 hammering last time they met. Mantova's only recent win was a lucky 0-1 at bottom club Sampdoria, while they've been shipping goals at home like there's no tomorrow.

Padova's defense on the road is solid as a boerewors roll, and Mantova can't score for fun (only 0.80 goals per game). This looks like a straightforward away win to me.