Preview
PajimonLook, I'll be upfront with you — this one's not a slam-dunk, but the numbers point Wrexham's way. At home, across 20 games from 29 December 2025 to 19 September 2026, Wrexham have won 8, drawn 6 and lost 6, averaging 1.5 points per game and 1.65 goals per game. West Brom's away record over 20 games from 11 January to 20 September 2026 is 8W 5D 7L at 1.45 points per game, with 1.4 goals scored and 1.15 conceded. Wrexham edge it on points and goals scored at home, though West Brom's away defence at 1.15 conceded per game is tighter than Wrexham's 1.6 at home.
The head-to-head is thin, and I'll give you that. The most recent meeting, on 3 April 2026 at West Brom's ground, was a 2–2 draw. The older meeting at Wrexham's ground on 16 August 2025 — that's 14 months back, historical record — saw West Brom win 3–2. Both games went over 2.5 and both teams scored. With only one recent meeting, there's no real pattern to lean on, so I'm leaning on the venue records and current form.
Now, West Brom come in with a two-game losing run. They lost 0–1 to Birmingham at home on 10 October and 0–1 at Wolves on 20 September, scoring nothing in either. Their last five are 2W 1D 2L with just 3 goals scored, and all five finished under 2.5. Wrexham's last five are 1W 3D 1L — a 2–1 home win over Southampton on 19 September, a 1–1 draw at Derby on 10 October, and that ugly 0–6 loss at West Ham on 11 September. Strip out that West Ham game and it's three draws and a win. Not brilliant, but not a disaster. And that 2–1 over Southampton at home three weeks ago tells you Wrexham can handle a tough side on their own patch.
The counter-argument is real, though. Wrexham's recent form is flat, and that 0–6 scoreline at West Ham is a red flag. West Brom have won 4 of their last 10 across all venues, and their away defence over 20 games (1.15 conceded) is better than Wrexham's home defence (1.6 conceded). The 2–2 at West Brom's ground in April showed this fixture can be open and competitive. If West Brom find their away form, this could go the other way.
Key Points:
- Wrexham home record (20 games): 8W 6D 6L, 1.65 goals per game, 1.6 conceded per game
- West Brom away record (20 games): 8W 5D 7L, 1.4 goals per game, 1.15 conceded per game
- West Brom current run: lost last 2, scored 0 in those games
- H2H: 2–2 at West Brom (3 April 2026); West Brom won 3–2 at Wrexham (16 August 2025, historical)
- Both teams' last 10 games: 4 over 2.5, 6 under 2.5
My pick: Wrexham home win.