Waalwijk vs Willem II Prediction

Right then, let's have a proper look at this Eerste Divisie clash between Waalwijk and Willem II. Two sides who're pretty much neck and neck in the table - just two points separating 'em with Willem II sitting sixth and Waalwijk eighth.

Now, Waalwijk at home have been a bit of a mixed bag lately. They put four past Roda away from home which was proper decent, and they grabbed a point at Den Bosch with a 2-2 draw. But then they went and let three slip past 'em at home against ADO Den Haag. The big issue for Waalwijk? They just can't keep a clean sheet to save their lives - only one in their last ten games! That's shocking, that is. They do score though, averaging 1.6 per game, and both teams have found the net in 70% of their matches.

Willem II, on the other hand, are a bit more solid at the back with three clean sheets in ten, but they don't score as many goals (1.2 per game). Away from home, they actually score more (1.4) but also concede more (1.8). They've had some decent results on the road - beat Vitesse 2-1 and drew 2-2 with Cambuur.

When these two have met before, it's usually Willem II who come out on top (5 wins to 2), but Waalwijk have done alright at home against them with a 2-1-1 record. The last meeting ended 2-0 to Waalwijk, and five of their eight meetings have seen over 2.5 goals.

Looking at the stats, both teams tend to score when these sides play. Waalwijk's defence is leakier than a sieve, and Willem II concede plenty away from home. The goal expectancy suggests around 2.9 goals in this one, which points to both teams getting on the scoresheet.

The odds for both teams to score are sitting at 1.53, which isn't massive value but looks like the most likely outcome given what we're seeing. Both sides have shown they can score goals, and both have defensive issues that could be exploited.