Leicester vs Portsmouth Prediction

Alright boet, let's fire up the braai and break down this Championship clash! Leicester are sitting pretty in 3rd place with 16 points, while Pompey are grinding away in 14th on 12 points. This one's got home advantage written all over it, but let's dig into the meat of it.

Leicester have been solid at home this season - unbeaten in their last 4 at the King Power with 2 wins and 2 draws. They're only letting in 0.5 goals per game on their own patch, which is tighter than a new pair of bokkies! But here's the thing - they've drawn their last 3 league games on the spin. 1-1 with Wrexham, 1-1 with West Brom, and 0-0 with Coventry. They're creating chances though, averaging 1.5 goals per game overall.

Portsmouth come into this after a massive 1-0 win over league leaders Middlesbrough - that's like finding an extra boerewors on the braai! But away from home, they're struggling to find the net, only scoring 0.75 goals per game on their travels. They did keep a clean sheet against Southampton away though, so they can defend when they want to.

The stats show Leicester dominate possession (57.1% vs Pompey's 50.7%) and have better shot accuracy. Leicester have seen both teams score in 70% of their games, while Pompey are at 50%. With Leicester scoring regularly at home and Pompey capable of nicking one, this could be more open than the goal expectancy suggests.

Key Points:

• Leicester unbeaten in 4 home games (2W, 2D)

• Leicester have drawn last 3 Championship matches

• Portsmouth scoring only 0.75 goals away from home

• Leicester see BTTS in 70% of games

• Pompey kept clean sheets in 2 of last 4 away games

I'm backing both teams to score here. Leicester's attack at home should get through, and while Pompey don't score much away, they're due one and Leicester have been conceding in most games recently. At 1.83, there's value to be had!