Portsmouth vs Wrexham Prediction

Pompey's Struggles Continue vs Red Dragons

Preview

Ag man, this one looks pretty straightforward if you check the numbers! Portsmouth are having a proper tough time down at the bottom of the table, sitting in 20th spot with only 13 points from 13 games. They've managed just 2 wins in their last 10 matches and are scoring a pathetic 0.7 goals per game - that's worse than my braai after a few too many beers!

Their recent form is shocking, getting hammered 4-0 by Birmingham and losing 1-0 to Stoke at home. They just can't find the back of the net, averaging only 0.83 goals per game at their own ground. Their shot accuracy is sitting at just 23.1% - they couldn't hit a barn door with a banjo!

Now Wrexham, on the other hand, are looking much better. They're 15th in the table with 17 points and have been decent on their travels. What really catches my eye is their recent form - they beat Coventry 3-2 at home, and Coventry are sitting top of the league! That's a proper statement win, hey. They're scoring 1.4 goals per game and their shot accuracy is nearly double Portsmouth's at 44.6%.

The Red Dragons are clinical in front of goal and have shown they can compete with the best teams in this division. Even away from home, they're grabbing 1.25 goals per game and have drawn half of their away matches this season.

Looking at the stats, Wrexham just look like the much better team here. Portsmouth can't score, Wrexham can. Simple as that. But what's interesting is that both teams tend to concede - Portsmouth let in 1.4 per game, Wrexham 1.1 per game away. This could be one of those games where both sides find the net.

The odds for Both Teams to Score at 1.73 look pretty tasty given the patterns. Wrexham should score easily against this leaky Pompey defense, and Portsmouth might just grab one at home even though they've been useless in front of goal lately.

Match time
Recommended Bet
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE YES
Odds
1.73
+EV
+3.8%
Estimated Chance60%
Stake & Profit
Stake:-Profit:0.00
Outcome
OPEN