Leon vs Puebla Prediction

Right then, let's have a proper look at this one. It's the basement battle of Liga MX - Leon sitting 17th hosting the rock-bottom Puebla in 18th. Neither side has exactly been setting the world alight this season, have they?

Leon's recent form has been shocking, mate. They've managed just one win in their last ten games and have been kept scoreless in four of their last five Liga MX matches. They've lost 0-2 to Club America, 0-2 to Atlas, 0-2 to Santos Laguna, and 0-2 to FC Juarez. The only goal they've managed in five league games was that 1-1 draw with U.N.A.M. - Pumas. At home, they've not won in their last three, drawing two and losing one.

Puebla aren't much better, mind you. They've got just one win in their last ten too, but at least they know where the goal is... sometimes. They had that mad 4-4 draw with FC Juarez and beat Club Tijuana 4-3, but they've also been hammered 0-3 by Cruz Azul and can't keep a clean sheet to save their lives. Zero clean sheets in ten games tells its own story, doesn't it?

But here's the thing - Leon absolutely loves playing Puebla at home. Their head-to-head record at home against these lot is brilliant: 4 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss. That's an 80% home win rate. Last time they met, Leon won 1-0.

Looking at the stats, Leon averages just 0.67 goals at home while conceding 1.00. Puebla scores 1.40 away but lets in 2.60. But given how toothless Leon have been in front of goal recently, I can't see a goal fest here.

Key Points:

• Both teams are in the bottom two of Liga MX

• Leon have scored just 1 goal in their last 5 Liga MX matches

• Puebla haven't kept a clean sheet in 10 games

• Leon has an 80% home win rate vs Puebla historically

• Both teams struggling for form with 1 win each in last 10 games

This has got 0-0 or 1-0 written all over it. Neither side has the confidence or form to go gung-ho, and Leon's home record against Puebla might just be enough to nick it. But goals? I wouldn't count on many.