Everton vs Bournemouth Prediction

Everton vs Bournemouth: BTTS Banker in Goal-Fest?

Preview

Listen up, braai masters and beer lovers! We've got a Premier League clash that's got goals written all over it. Everton, sitting 7th with 37 points, host Bournemouth in 11th with 34 points. On paper, it's tight, but the recent data tells a spicy story.

Everton are like that friend who braais brilliantly at your place but burns the wors at his own. Their home form is shocking: zero wins in their last five at Goodison Park, with four draws and a loss. They've scored just 1.00 goals per game at home while conceding 1.60. Their recent results show they're tough to beat overall—only two losses in ten—but they draw too much (five times). Highlights include a solid 1-0 away win at Aston Villa and a 2-1 victory at Fulham, but at home, they've been held by Leeds, Sunderland, Wolves, and smashed 2-4 by Brentford.

Bournemouth, on the other hand, are the ultimate party crashers. They don't do boring. In their last ten games, both teams have scored in a whopping 90% of them! They score (1.80 per game) and they concede (1.80 per game). They've taken big scalps recently, beating Liverpool 3-2 and Tottenham 3-2, and drawing with Chelsea and Aston Villa. Away from home, they've drawn 60% of their last five, scoring 1.60 and conceding 1.80. They're leaky but dangerous.

The head-to-head history is a Bournemouth bragging right: six wins from nine meetings, with Everton managing just three wins and zero draws. However, the most recent clash in December 2025 went Everton's way 1-0. Still, at Everton's ground, the Cherries have won three of five visits.

Key stats scream goals. Bournemouth averages 15.1 shots and 5.6 on target per game, with 7.0 on target specifically away from home. Everton manages only 3.0 shots on target at home. Bournemouth's matches are entertainment guaranteed, while Everton's home games have seen both teams score in 60% of recent outings.

Key Points:

Everton are winless in their last five home games (0 wins, 4 draws, 1 loss).

Bournemouth's matches see both teams score in 90% of their last ten games.

Head-to-head favours Bournemouth (6 wins vs Everton's 3), but Everton won the last meeting 1-0.

Bournemouth creates more chances (15.1 shots, 5.6 on target avg vs Everton's 11.2 and 3.2).

  • Everton's home defense is suspect, conceding 1.60 goals per game at Goodison.

Summary: This has the makings of a proper end-to-end game. Everton can't buy a win at home, and Bournemouth can't keep a clean sheet (just 10% in last ten). With both teams finding the net consistently in their recent patterns, the smart money is on goals at both ends. The value and the data point firmly to both teams scoring.

My Bet: Both Teams to Score - YES.

Match time
Recommended Bet
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE YES
Odds
1.70
+EV
+10.5%
Estimated Chance65%
Stake & Profit
Stake:-Profit:0.00
Outcome
OPEN