Solihull Moors vs Eastleigh Prediction

Alright, let's talk about a match that has 'goals' written all over it! Solihull Moors welcome Eastleigh to town, and if you're looking for excitement, action, and hopefully a net-bulging spectacle, you've come to the right place. As The Big O, I live for these kinds of fixtures – where defensive frailties meet attacking potential, and the over market starts to look very, very tasty.

Let's cut straight to the juicy numbers. Over their last ten games, Solihull Moors are averaging a healthy 2.40 goals scored per outing. At home, that number jumps to a mouth-watering 2.67. Remember that 7-1 demolition of Tamworth and the 4-1 thrashing of Sutton United? That's the kind of firepower we're dealing with. Yes, they've had a couple of blanks recently – a 0-0 with Brackley and a 0-2 loss to league leaders York – but those were against organised sides. Eastleigh, sitting 19th, are not in that category.

Now, let's talk about the visitors. Eastleigh's recent form is the stuff of nightmares for defensive coaches but a dream for us Over enthusiasts. In their last ten matches, they've conceded 21 goals – that's 2.10 per game. Crucially, they have kept zero clean sheets. Not one. Both teams have scored in a staggering 90% of their recent matches. They are a guaranteed source of goals, usually at both ends. On the road, they score a respectable 1.60 per game but concede 1.80. Their recent results tell the story: a 1-4 loss to Aldershot, a 2-3 defeat to FC Halifax Town, and a 1-4 thumping by Southend. When they face teams that can attack, they leak goals.

The head-to-head history adds more fuel to the fire. Four of the last nine meetings have seen Over 2.5 goals, with an average of 2.78 goals per game. The most recent clash in October 2025 ended 1-1, but the patterns suggest potential for more.

Looking at the league table, Solihull are comfortably mid-table with little pressure, which often leads to more open, expressive football. Eastleigh are nervously looking over their shoulder, which can lead to desperate, end-to-end affairs – perfect for our purposes. The goal expectancy models point to around 3.86 total goals, and the market's fair probability for Over 2.5 sits at 55.6%. Given Eastleigh's defensive charity and Solihull's proven ability to rack up big scores at home against weaker opposition, I believe the true probability is significantly higher.

Key Points:

Solihull Moors average 2.67 goals per game at home in recent form.

Eastleigh have conceded 2.10 goals per game on average with zero clean sheets in their last ten.

Both Teams to Score has landed in 90% of Eastleigh's last ten matches.

Head-to-head matches average nearly 3 goals.

• Eastleigh's away games average 3.40 total goals (1.60 scored, 1.80 conceded).

This has all the ingredients for a proper goal-fest. Solihull will be licking their lips at the prospect of facing a leaky defence, while Eastleigh have shown they can score on their travels. I'm expecting an open, entertaining game with chances at both ends. The value on Over 2.5 Goals is clear, and it's exactly the kind of action The Big O loves to get behind.