Alaves vs Valencia Prediction

Right then, let's fire up the braai and look at this La Liga clash! Alaves hosts Valencia in what looks like a mismatch based on the numbers. Alaves is sitting pretty in 10th with 11 points, while Valencia is struggling down in 15th with just 8 points.

The home side has been decent enough recently - they picked up a solid 3-1 win against Elche and showed they can compete with the big boys, drawing 1-1 with Atletico Madrid. They're averaging 1.4 goals per game at home, which isn't setting the world on fire, but it's better than what Valencia manages on the road.

Speaking of Valencia's away form... ag man, it's rough! They haven't won a single away game in their last 5 attempts, scoring a pathetic 0.6 goals per game while conceding 2.6. That's like leaving your steak on the braai too long - completely burnt! They recently got hammered 6-0 by Barcelona and lost 2-1 to Girona, who are sitting near the bottom.

Here's the killer stat though - Alaves has a PERFECT home record against Valencia: 3 wins from 3 meetings! That's 100% success rate. The last 5 head-to-heads show Alaves winning 4 and drawing 1. Valencia just can't handle Alaves at their place.

Both teams aren't exactly goal machines, with Alaves averaging 0.9 goals per game overall and Valencia 1.3. But given Valencia's defensive disasters away from home and Alaves's historical dominance in this fixture, I'm backing the home side to get the job done.

Time to put some money on the boys in blue!