Hibernian vs Livingston Prediction

Right then, let's have a proper look at this Scottish Premiership clash between Hibernian and Livingston. Both sides are stuck in the middle of the table, but there's plenty to chew on here for us punters.

Hibs are sitting 7th with 8 points, and blimey, they've been drawing for fun lately - five draws in seven league games tells its own story. They've only managed one win all season, but they're not getting battered either. Recent form shows they can hold their own against the big boys, drawing 0-0 with Celtic and only losing 1-0 to Hearts. But here's the kicker - they can't buy a win at home lately. Zero wins in their last four at their own patch, and they're leaking goals like a sieve (2.25 per game at home).

Livingston are down in 9th with 6 points, and they're having a right old time on the road. Zero wins in their last five away matches, though they have managed three draws in that spell. They did grab a decent 1-1 draw at Dundee Utd recently, but getting beaten 3-2 by Dundee shows they can be got at. The last time these two met, Hibs nicked it 2-0 in the League Cup, but that was away from home.

When you dig into the head-to-head, Hibs have the edge with 5 wins in 8 meetings, and interestingly, 5 of those 8 games have gone over 2.5 goals. Both teams tend to find the net too - 60% of their recent games see both sides score.

The stats show Hibs create more chances (14.71 shots vs 8.50), but they're generous at the back. Livingston aren't exactly defensive stalwarts either, conceding 1.8 goals per game on their travels. With both teams struggling for clean sheets and the goal expectancy sitting around 3.27 total goals, this looks like it could be an open affair.

Key Points:

• Hibs have drawn 5 of their 7 league games this season

• Livingston haven't won in 5 away matches (3 draws, 2 losses)

• 5 of the last 8 H2H meetings have gone over 2.5 goals

• Both teams score in 60% of their recent matches

• Hibs concede 2.25 goals per game at home

• Livingston concede 1.8 goals per game away

The bookies have got Hibs as favourites at 1.53, but given their home form, that looks a bit short. Both teams to score at 1.80 has some appeal, but the value really catches my eye with the over 2.5 goals market at 1.73. With both defences looking about as solid as a chocolate teapot and the H2H trend pointing towards goals, that's where I'm putting my money.