Unirea Slobozia vs FCSB Prediction

Right then, let's have a proper look at this Liga I clash. Unirea Slobozia are having a right nightmare of a season, sitting 13th and looking over their shoulder. FCSB are mid-table but fancy themselves as a proper side, especially after that mad 4-3 win against Feyenoord in Europe a few days back.

Let's start with the home side. Blimey, their form is grim. One win in their last ten, and that was back in September against a struggling Petrolul. Since then, it's been loss after loss. At home, it's even worse – they've lost four on the spin, all by a single goal to nil. That's the key for me: they can't buy a goal at the moment. They're averaging a measly 0.2 goals per game at their own gaff. That's not a threat, that's a whimper.

FCSB are a funny old side. One minute they're drawing with the league's best, the next they're losing to a mid-table side in the cup. But they score goals, especially on their travels – nearly 1.6 per away game. The problem is they also let them in, conceding 1.7 on the road. That's why the bookies fancy goals, pricing Both Teams to Score at nearly evens.

But here's the rub. Slobozia's attack is so blunt, I reckon they'd struggle to score in a charity match. They've mustered one goal in their last five home games. FCSB might be a bit leaky, but are they that bad? They kept a clean sheet against a strong Dinamo Bucuresti side just last week. With Slobozia's confidence shot and FCSB likely buzzing from their European heroics, I can see the visitors controlling this.

Yeah, FCSB have had a busy week and only four days' rest, but they're professionals. Slobozia have had ten days to think about their problems, and that might not be a good thing.

The head-to-head is a mixed bag, with Slobozia nicking a 1-0 win earlier this season. But that was back in August, and their form has fallen off a cliff since.

Key Points:

Unirea Slobozia have lost four consecutive home games, failing to score in any of them.

They average just 0.2 goals per game at home this season.

FCSB score regularly away (1.57 per game) but are inconsistent defensively.

FCSB are on a high from a dramatic European win but have had less rest.

• The historical meetings suggest a close game, but current form paints a very different picture.

Summary:

All the numbers scream one thing: Unirea Slobozia cannot score. FCSB should have enough quality to get a goal or two, and I just don't see where a Slobozia reply is coming from. The value isn't in the short price for an FCSB win, it's in backing Both Teams to Score - No at a tasty 1.80. Sometimes the simple bet is the smart one.