Perugia vs Campobasso FC Prediction

Listen up, brah! It's time to cut through the vegetables and get to the meat. We've got a Serie C - Girone B clash coming up on 2026-04-18 between Perugia and Campobasso FC. I'm Pajimon, and I love a good win, a cold beer, and a proper BBQ. No politics, no nonsense, just the stats.

Perugia is sitting pretty low in 14th place with 37 points from 34 games. Their recent form is a bit of a struggle. In their last 10 games, they've managed 3 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses. That gives them a points per game average of 1.40. At home, their win rate in the last 5 games is only 20%, with 60% draws. They've scored 1.20 goals per game at home and conceded 1.20. That's not exactly a fortress.

On the other side, Campobasso FC is flying high in 4th place with 53 points. Their last 10 games show 6 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, averaging 2.00 points per game. Their away form is absolutely cracking—100% win rate in their last 4 away games! They've scored 2.25 goals per game away and only conceded 0.75. That's the meat right there.

Head-to-head history also favors Campobasso. They've won 2 of the 3 meetings, including the last one which ended 0-1 to Campobasso. Goal expectancies show Campobasso averaging 1.73 goals compared to Perugia's 0.97. The numbers scream that Campobasso is the stronger team, especially on the road.

So, what's the play? The odds for an Away Win are 3.25. Given the massive gap in league position (4th vs 14th) and the stark contrast in recent form (Campobasso 100% away wins vs Perugia 20% home wins), there's serious value here. I'm confident Campobasso will take the three points.

Key Points:

• Campobasso FC is 4th with 53 points; Perugia is 14th with 37 points.

• Campobasso has a 100% win rate in their last 4 away games.

• Perugia has a 20% win rate in their last 5 home games.

• Campobasso leads the head-to-head record 2-1.

• Goal expectancy favors Campobasso (1.73 vs 0.97).

My pick is an Away Win for Campobasso FC.