Bologna vs Torino Prediction

Right then, let's have a proper look at this Serie A scrap between Bologna and Torino. The lads from Bologna are sitting pretty in 5th, and you can see why when you look at their home form - they've been turning their gaff into a right fortress lately. Three wins from their last four at home, scoring for fun with two goals per game and barely letting anyone in (just half a goal conceded per game). That 4-0 hammering of Pisa shows what they can do when they're on it.

Torino, on the other hand, are having a right old time of it on their travels. Only one win in their last four away games, and here's the killer stat - they're shipping two and a half goals per game on the road! That's worse than a leaky tap, that is. Mind you, they did just beat Napoli 1-0, which shows they can turn up for the big occasions. But that 5-0 pasting by Inter and the 3-0 home loss to Atalanta suggest they can be proper vulnerable.

When these two have met, Bologna's had the number of Torino at home - unbeaten in five meetings at their place. Last time out was a 3-2 cracker, but Bologna's defense has tightened up considerably since then.

The stats paint a pretty clear picture: Bologna's solid at the back and dangerous going forward at home, while Torino struggles to keep it tight away from home. With Bologna averaging 2.0 goals at home and Torino conceding 2.5 away, something's got to give.

Key Points:

• Bologna's home form is top drawer: 75% win rate, 2.0 goals scored per game

• Torino's away defense is shocking: 2.5 goals conceded per game

• Bologna unbeaten at home vs Torino in recent meetings (3W, 2D)

• Torino kept clean sheets in 50% of games but struggle away

• Bologna's only recent losses came against decent sides (AC Milan, Aston Villa)

The way I see it, Bologna's home advantage and Torino's travel sickness make this a straightforward one. The odds of 1.75 for a home win look proper value to me.