Crawley Town vs Accrington ST Prediction

Bottom-Half Battle: Both Teams To Score Looks Likely

Preview

This League Two clash between two struggling sides presents an interesting betting opportunity. Crawley Town sits 20th with just 16 points, while Accrington ST occupies 18th place with 17 points. Both teams have been inconsistent this season, but their recent form patterns suggest we could see goals from both sides.

Crawley's home form shows they can be dangerous offensively, averaging 1.80 goals per game at home. Their recent results include a 4-0 thrashing of Bristol Rovers and a 2-2 draw with Gillingham, demonstrating they can score against various opposition levels. However, they've also been defensively vulnerable, conceding 1.70 goals per game overall and keeping only one clean sheet in their last ten matches.

Accrington ST arrives with slightly better recent form, earning 1.20 points per game compared to Crawley's 0.80. They've shown attacking prowess in recent fixtures, scoring three goals against both Bristol Rovers and Chesterfield. Notably, they defeated league leaders Swindon Town 4-0 in October, proving they can compete with the best. However, their away form is concerning - they haven't won in their last four away matches and concede 2.00 goals per game on the road.

The head-to-head record is evenly balanced with four wins each and one draw from nine meetings. Historically, these encounters tend to produce goals, with six of the nine matches seeing over 2.5 goals.

Both teams share similar statistical profiles that point toward both teams scoring. Crawley has seen both teams score in 70% of their recent matches, while Accrington's rate is 60%. Neither side has been reliable defensively, with both maintaining just a 10% clean sheet rate. Crawley's home attacking improvement (1.80 goals per game) combined with Accrington's defensive struggles away (2.00 goals conceded) creates a scenario where both sides are likely to find the net.

The betting market offers Both Teams To Score - Yes at 1.67, which appears to offer value given the statistical evidence and recent form patterns of both teams.

Match time
Recommended Bet
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE YES
Odds
1.67
+EV
+13.6%
Estimated Chance68%
Stake & Profit
Stake:-Profit:0.00
Outcome
OPEN