Match preview
SwedenSuperettan
There's a little puppy in this fixture that I simply can't ignore, and it isn't a team on the pitch — it's the scoreline itself. GIF Sundsvall have failed to score in four of their last five matches, and in their last two games they've managed a combined total of zero goals. That's not a blip; it's a pattern. Across their last ten games, Sundsvall have gone blank in six, and at home over 20 matches they've failed to find the net in six of those. Their current run has them losing their last two with 0 goals scored and 5 conceded, and the only bright spot in that stretch was a 3–2 home win over Ljungskile SK on 20 September. I love a team that fights back, but right now the little Sundsvall pup is running on empty.
IFK Varnamo, by contrast, have scored in every one of their last five matches and in all ten of their last ten. Their away record over 20 games shows 1.5 goals per game, and they've only failed to score in four of those 20. So the real question for this fixture isn't "will Varnamo score?" — the evidence says yes, almost certainly. The question is whether Sundsvall can finally crack open. And honestly, the numbers say they probably can't. Four of five recent games have seen them go scoreless, and the last two were 0–4 and 0–1. The 3–2 win over Ljungskile feels like the outlier, not the norm.
The head-to-head adds a little colour. The only meeting within the last 12 months was back in April at Varnamo's ground, and it ended 3–0 to the hosts — a result where one team went scoreless. The older meetings stretch back to 2021 and 2022, so I'd treat those as historical flavour rather than a current trend. At Sundsvall's ground specifically, there have been no recent meetings in the last year, so we're flying a bit blind on the venue. What we do know is that Sundsvall's home record over 20 games is 6 wins, 2 draws and 12 losses, with 1.9 conceded per game. That's a tough environment for any visitor, but it's also an environment where Sundsvall's own attack has struggled to deliver.
The counter-argument is that Sundsvall did score in their last home game, and Varnamo's away defence has conceded 2.2 per game over 20 outings. That's a leaky backline, and if Sundsvall get a goal, the game could open up. But "if" is doing a lot of heavy lifting there. Varnamo's last game was a 1–2 loss at home to Falkenbergs FF, so they're not untouchable, but their scoring consistency is hard to ignore when you're looking at a both-teams-to-score market.
Key Points:
My verdict: I'm backing both teams not to score. The little puppy here is the quiet scoreline, and Sundsvall's scoring drought is the strongest thread I can pull in this fixture.