Sheffield Wednesday vs Oxford United Prediction

Ag man, this is like watching two bokkies fight over a last piece of biltong! Both teams are struggling at the wrong end of the table, but someone's got to win this one.

Sheffield Wednesday are rock bottom of the Championship with just 6 points from 10 games, and their home form is absolutely shocking. They've got a 0% home win rate this season and are scoring a pathetic 0.29 goals per game at Hillsborough. Just look at their recent home results - hammered 0-5 by Coventry, blanked 0-3 by Bristol City, and 0-2 against Swansea. They can't buy a goal in front of their own fans!

Oxford United aren't exactly world-beaters sitting in 20th, but they're definitely the better side here. They've picked up 9 points from 10 games and actually look more solid away from home. They're conceding only 0.80 goals per game on their travels compared to Wednesday's 1.86 at home. Their recent away form shows they can compete - drew 0-0 at QPR and only lost 2-1 at Watford.

The head-to-head tells the story too - Oxford have won 3 of the 7 meetings, including a 1-0 win last time out. Wednesday have only managed 1 home win against Oxford in 4 attempts.

Wednesday's shot accuracy at home is a laughable 13.4% - they couldn't hit a cow's backside with a banjo! Oxford might only have 20.8% away accuracy, but at least they're creating chances with nearly 12 shots per game away.

The bookies have this as a 50-50 at 2.62 each, but that's just wrong. Wednesday are statistically terrible at home, Oxford are decent away, and the form gap is massive. This smells like value to me!