Pergolettese vs Pro Patria Prediction

Listen to the data, you must. The match is Pergolettese vs Pro Patria. Serie C - Girone A. Kickoff is March 28, 2026.

Look at the standings table. Pergolettese sits 17th with 33 points. Pro Patria sits 19th with 19 points. A 14-point gap, significant it is. Both teams fighting for survival, yes.

Recent form tells a story. Pergolettese last 10 games: 4 wins, 2 draws, 4 losses. Points per game 1.40. Home win rate last 5 games is 60%. Pro Patria last 10 games: 1 win, 4 draws, 5 losses. Points per game 0.70. Away win rate last 5 games is 0%. Pro Patria is struggling on the road, truly.

Recent results for Pergolettese:

2026-03-21: Loss 0-2 vs Giana Erminio.

2026-03-14: Loss 0-1 vs Arzignano Valchiampo.

2026-03-07: Draw 1-1 vs Novara.

2026-03-03: Win 2-1 vs PRO Vercelli.

2026-02-27: Win 2-0 vs Triestina.

Recent results for Pro Patria:

2026-03-22: Loss 1-4 vs Lecco.

2026-03-15: Loss 0-1 vs Lumezzane.

2026-03-07: Draw 1-1 vs Alcione.

2026-03-03: Draw 0-0 vs Ospitaletto.

2026-02-28: Draw 2-2 vs Virtus Verona.

Head-to-Head history is key. 9 matches total. Pergolettese wins 4, Pro Patria wins 4, 1 draw. But look at the venue. Pergolettese Home Record vs Pro Patria: 3 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss. 75% home win rate against them. Last meeting was a 3-1 win for Pro Patria in November 2025.

Goal statistics. Pergolettese home goals per game: 1.40. Pro Patria away goals per game: 0.80. Combined expectancy 2.40. Over 2.5 odds are 2.00. Under 2.5 odds are 1.80. Fair probabilities suggest no edge on goals. Clean sheets are rare. Pergolettese 10% clean sheet rate. Pro Patria 20% clean sheet rate. Both Teams to Score percentages are high, 60% for Pergolettese, 50% for Pro Patria.

Fatigue check. Days rest — Home 7, Away 6. Matches in last 14 days — Home 2, Away 2. Similar congestion, yes.

Trends show decline. Goals Scored Trend: Declining for both. Goals Conceded Trend: Declining for both. Points Trend: Declining. RSI and Volatility indices show uncertainty.

Home win odds 1.88. Implied probability 53%. We estimate 65% chance based on form and H2H. Edge exists. Do or do not bet, there is no try. But hedge your bets, you should.

Bet: Home Win.