Real Sociedad II vs Leganes Prediction

Right then, let's have a proper look at this one. It's a classic bottom-of-the-table clash, though Leganes aren't actually at the bottom - that honour goes to our hosts Real Sociedad II.

The home side are having a right old time of it down in 20th place with just 9 points from 11 games. They've only managed one win in their last ten matches, and that was a 3-0 home victory against FC Andorra. But let's be honest, they've been struggling against the better sides - losing 1-0 to Racing Santander (who're top of the league) and 1-0 to Burgos (third place). They did show some fight in draws against Cadiz and Almeria, but conceding five goals to Granada CF (who're second bottom) doesn't exactly fill you with confidence.

Now for Leganes. They're sitting pretty in 13th with 15 points, and more importantly, they know how to keep it tight at the back. Only 0.6 goals conceded per game is proper solid, and they're keeping clean sheets half the time. What's really caught my eye is their away form - unbeaten on the road in their last six trips, winning three and drawing three. They've kept clean sheets at Eibar, Mirandes, and Granada CF. Okay, they just lost 1-2 at home to Burgos, but that's against a top three side.

When you look at the stats, it's pretty clear-cut. Leganes are averaging 1.5 points per game, while Real Sociedad II are scraping by with 0.7. The visitors concede less than a goal a game, the hosts are letting in nearly two.

The head-to-head doesn't tell us much with only two previous meetings, but Real Sociedad did win 1-0 at home back in 2021. That was then though, and this is now.

Given Leganes' defensive solidity on the road and Real Sociedad's struggles at the wrong end of the table, I'm leaning towards the away side here. They've shown they can grind out results away from home, and that defensive record speaks for itself.

Key Points:

• Real Sociedad II are bottom of the table with just 9 points

• Leganes have a superb defensive record (0.6 goals conceded per game)

• Leganes are unbeaten in their last 6 away games (3 wins, 3 draws)

• Real Sociedad II have only 1 win in their last 10 matches

• Leganes keep clean sheets 50% of the time compared to Real Sociedad's 20%