Fulham vs Wolves Prediction
Relegation Six-Pointer: Fulham's Home Fortress vs Rock Bottom Wolves
Preview
Right then, let's have a proper look at this basement battle down at the Cottage. Two sides struggling for form, but there's a massive difference between how these teams play at home versus away, and that's where the value lies in this one.
Fulham might be sitting 17th with just 8 points, but they've been a different beast on their own patch. Look at their recent home form - they've won 4 out of their last 5 at home, including decent results against Brentford (3-1) and Leeds (1-0). They're keeping it tight at the back too, conceding only 0.4 goals per game at home. That's proper solid.
Wolves, on the other hand, are having an absolute nightmare. Rock bottom of the table with just 2 points from 9 games, and their away form is shocking stuff. Zero wins on the road this season, and they're only managing to bang in 0.33 goals per game away from home. That's not just bad, that's relegation-form bad.
Recent results tell the story. Fulham had a tough run against the big boys - losing to Arsenal, Newcastle, Bournemouth, and Aston Villa - but those are all teams flying high. Wolves are getting beaten by everyone, including a 2-3 home loss to Burnley who aren't exactly setting the world alight either.
The head-to-head slightly favours Wolves historically (5 wins to 2), but Fulham nicked the last meeting 2-1, and more importantly, current form suggests this is Fulham's game to lose. The stats don't lie here - 80% home win rate for Fulham recently versus 0% away win rate for Wolves. That's a massive gap.
Both teams are struggling for goals overall, and with Wolves barely scoring on the road and Fulham keeping it tight at home, this could be a low-scoring affair. But the home advantage looks too strong to ignore in this relegation six-pointer.
Key Points:
- Fulham have won 80% of their last 5 home games
- Wolves have won 0% of their away games this season
- Wolves score only 0.33 goals per game away from home
- Fulham concede just 0.4 goals per game at home
- Wolves are rock bottom with only 2 points from 9 games
- Fulham won the last head-to-head meeting 2-1
This has got home win written all over it. Fulham's solid home form against Wolves' dreadful away performances makes this a straightforward pick. The odds of 1.90 look decent value for what should be a controlled home victory.