One Knoxville vs Texoma Prediction

Right then, let's have a proper look at this USL League One clash between One Knoxville and Texoma. And blimey, what a mismatch we've got on our hands!

One Knoxville are sitting pretty at the top of the table, mate. They've got 51 points from 28 games and they're proper solid at home - winning 80% of their last five home matches and barely letting anyone score (just 0.2 goals conceded per game at home). They've been banging in the wins against the big boys too, like that 3-1 victory over Portland Hearts of Pine and a 2-0 win against Chattanooga Red Wolves. Proper top stuff.

Texoma, on the other hand, are struggling down in 12th place with only 30 points. Their away form is absolutely shocking, mate - losing 80% of their last five away games and scoring a pathetic 0.4 goals per game on their travels. They got absolutely hammered 5-0 by Union Omaha not too long ago, and even lost 3-0 to Forward Madison. Not great, is it?

The only time these two met before, One Knoxville won 2-0 away from home. And looking at the stats, this could be another low-scoring affair. One Knoxville's home defense is like a brick wall, while Texoma's away attack couldn't hit a barn door.

Now, the bookies have got One Knoxville at 1.39 to win, which seems about right given the gulf in class. But where's the real value? Well, I'm looking at the Under 2.5 goals market at 1.93. With One Knoxville's tight defense at home and Texoma's toothless attack away, this looks proper tasty to me. The goal expectancy is only 2.1 total goals, which suggests we're in for a tight, low-scoring game.

Both Teams To Score No at 1.73 also catches the eye, but I reckon the Under 2.5 offers better value given the numbers.