Newport County vs Barrow Prediction

Right then, let's have a proper look at this one. Newport County are absolutely rock bottom of League Two, and looking at their home form, you can see why. They've not won a single home game in their last five attempts - that's shocking stuff, mate. Zero wins at home, conceding nearly two goals a game on their own patch. They've lost their last three home games on the spin: 0-1 to Exeter, 2-4 to Walsall, and 0-2 to Cheltenham. The only thing they seem good at is winning away from home, which is bizarre but true.

Barrow, on the other hand, are sitting pretty in 17th (still not great, but better than the basement!) and their away form tells a different story. They've won half of their last four away games and are only letting in 0.75 goals per game on their travels. That's solid, that is. They went to Walsall (who are top of the league) and won 2-1, so they're not scared of a tough away day.

The stats don't lie here. Newport are scoring just 0.6 goals per game at home while shipping 1.8. Barrow are netting 1.25 away and keeping it tight at the back. The head-to-head record favours Barrow too, with 5 wins to Newport's 3 in their meetings.

Look, I know it's football and anything can happen, but Newport's home form is absolutely dreadful. They can't buy a win at their own place, and Barrow know how to grind out results on the road. The odds of 2.55 for an away win look about right to me - there's value there if you ask me.