Gazişehir Gaziantep vs Konyaspor Prediction

The Süper Lig presents us with a fascinating mid-table clash as 8th-placed Gazişehir Gaziantep hosts 13th-placed Konyaspor. On paper, this looks like a closely contested affair, but my underdog-loving heart sees potential value in the visitors who sit five points and five places below their hosts in the standings.

Gaziantep's recent form has been a mixed bag of resilience and vulnerability. Their impressive 1-1 draw against league leaders Galatasaray on January 17th showed they can compete with the best, but that result stands in stark contrast to their 5-1 thrashing at Başakşehir and concerning 1-2 home defeat to 17th-placed Eyüpspor. At home, they've managed just one win in their last four matches, scoring only 0.75 goals per game while conceding 1.00. Their 30% win rate over the last ten matches tells a story of inconsistency, though their points trend is showing slight improvement.

Konyaspor arrives with identical recent form - three wins, four draws, and three losses from their last ten - but crucially, they've collected slightly more points per game (1.30 vs 1.20). Their away record shows an interesting pattern: 40% wins but 60% losses with no draws in their last five road trips. They've been scoring at a healthier 1.40 goals per game away from home, though defensive concerns persist with 2.00 goals conceded per away match. Their recent 1-1 draw with Eyüpspor and 4-0 loss to Fenerbahçe show they can be competitive but also vulnerable against quality opposition.

The head-to-head history provides compelling reading for underdog enthusiasts. Konyaspor holds the advantage with four wins to Gaziantep's three in their nine previous meetings, and they've won the last two encounters convincingly - 3-0 in August 2025 and 1-0 in March 2025. This psychological edge cannot be underestimated, especially considering Gaziantep's modest 25% home win rate against Konyaspor historically.

Statistically, these teams present an intriguing contrast. Konyaspor enjoys more possession (54.7% vs 46.6%) and attempts more shots (15.0 vs 13.0), though Gaziantep shows better shot accuracy (32.0% vs 21.8%). Both teams have identical 20% clean sheet rates over their last ten matches, and both tend to see both teams score frequently (70% for Gaziantep, 60% for Konyaspor).

Key Points:

• Konyaspor has won the last two head-to-head meetings, including a 3-0 victory in August 2025

• Gaziantep's home form is concerning with just one win in their last four home matches

• Konyaspor scores more away goals (1.40/game) than Gaziantep scores at home (0.75/game)

• Both teams have identical 30% win rates over their last ten matches

• Gaziantep recently lost at home to 17th-placed Eyüpspor, showing vulnerability

• Konyaspor's away record shows they either win (40%) or lose (60%) with no draws in recent trips

While the bookmakers understandably make Gaziantep slight favorites at home, the data suggests Konyaspor represents genuine value as underdogs. Their superior head-to-head record, comparable recent form, and Gaziantep's home vulnerabilities create a compelling case for the visitors to continue their dominance in this fixture. As someone who always roots for the overlooked, I see Konyaspor as the 'little puppy' with bite in this encounter.