Sassuolo vs AS Roma Prediction

Roma's Rock Solid Defence vs Sassuolo's Struggling Attack

Preview

Right then, let's have a proper look at this Serie A clash between Sassuolo and the high-flying AS Roma. The lads from Rome are sitting pretty in 4th spot with 15 points from 7 games, while Sassuolo are languishing in 9th with just 10 points.

When you dig into the recent form, it's a tale of two different stories entirely. Roma have been banging in the results with 6 wins from their last 10 games, including a cracking away record - they've won their last 4 on the road! They've only let in 5 goals in those 10 matches, which is proper solid at the back. Their recent away wins include a 2-1 at Fiorentina, 2-1 at Nice, 1-0 at Lazio, and 1-0 at Pisa.

Sassuolo, on the other hand, are having a right old time of it. Only 2 wins from 10 games, scoring a measly 8 goals (that's 0.8 per game, folks). They've looked toothless recently with a 0-0 draw against Lecce, and losses to Como (0-3), Inter (1-2), and Cremonese (2-3). They're struggling to find the back of the net, simple as that.

The head-to-head doesn't give us much to go on - it's pretty even over 9 matches, but Roma have the edge in recent meetings. The last time they met, Roma won 1-0.

Looking at the stats, Roma dominate possession (57.8% vs 44.4%) and take more shots. But the key thing here is Roma's defence - they're keeping clean sheets half the time and only concede 0.5 goals per game. Sassuolo can't buy a goal at the moment.

The bookies have Roma as clear favorites at 1.92 for the away win, but I reckon there's better value elsewhere. Given Roma's defensive solidity and Sassuolo's attacking woes, I'm leaning towards both teams NOT scoring.

Match time
Recommended Bet
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE NO
Odds
1.88
+EV
+22.2%
Estimated Chance65%
Stake & Profit
Stake:-Profit:0.00
Outcome
OPEN