WSPG Wels vs Rapid Wien II Prediction

Right then, let's have a proper look at this basement battle in the Austrian 2. Liga. WSPG Wels are rock bottom of the table with just 4 points from 9 games, while Rapid Wien II are hovering just above the danger zone in 12th spot. This one's got relegation six-pointer written all over it!

Wels have been absolutely shocking recently, mate. One win in their last 10 games tells you all you need to know. They've been shipping goals for fun - 18 conceded in that run - and barely scoring at the other end with just 8 goals. Their only decent result lately was a 2-2 Cup draw against league leaders SKN ST. Polten, but in the league they've been getting battered. Lost 4-2 to Austria Salzburg, 2-0 to Austria Klagenfurt, and 3-2 to Kapfenberg. At home, they've managed just one win in five attempts - that's proper relegation form, that is.

Rapid Wien II, on the other hand, have shown a bit of spark recently. They've picked up two wins in their last three games, including a tidy 1-0 victory over SV Kapfenberg and another 1-0 win away at Floridsdorfer AC. Okay, they're not world beaters, but they're showing signs of life. What's interesting is they actually score more goals away from home (1.4 per game) than they do at their own gaff. They've got a decent 40% win rate on their travels this season.

When you look at the numbers, this shapes up as a away win for me. Wels are conceding 1.4 goals per game at home, while Rapid are scoring 1.4 on the road. Meanwhile, Wels only manage 0.8 goals at home and Rapid ship 1.8 away. The form gap is massive - Wels have 10% win rate compared to Rapid's 30%, and Rapid's recent trend is improving while Wels are stuck in the mud.

The bookies have got Rapid Wien II at 2.70 for the away win, which looks tasty to me. Given the form difference and the fact Rapid are actually better on the road, that's got value written all over it. Both teams will probably score given how leaky both defences are, but I'm backing the visitors to come away with all three points.