llanelli AFC vs Haverfordwest County AFC Prediction

Alright, settle in for some Friday night Welsh football – Llanelli against Haverfordwest County. And if you're looking for a competitive thriller, well, you might want to look elsewhere, mate, because this has all the makings of a one-sided affair.

Llanelli are absolutely rooted to the bottom of the pile. Nine points from 25 games, goal difference of minus fifty-one – that's not a football team, that's a charity case. They've gone ten games without a win, picking up just two draws and getting battered left, right and centre. We're talking 6-0 against Barry Town, 5-1 against the same lot, 3-0 against Haverfordwest just before Christmas... it's been brutal. At home they're somehow even worse, scoring 0.4 goals a game and letting in 2.4. You'd get better value betting on the weather.

Now flip it to Haverfordwest and it's like looking in a funhouse mirror. Six wins from their last ten, seven clean sheets in that stretch, and they've turned into Fort Knox at the back – just nine goals conceded in ten games. They absolutely demolished Llanelli 3-0 on Boxing Day and haven't looked back since, knocking off Bala Town 3-0, Briton Ferry 2-0, and Cardiff MET 2-0 without breaking a sweat.

The history books say Llanelli have had the better of the home fixtures against Haverfordwest – two wins from three – but that was ancient history. Right now, one team is playing like they want promotion and the other is playing like they've already accepted relegation.

The bookies have priced Haverfordwest at 1.40, which is tighter than a drum, but what can you do? Sometimes the obvious bet is the only bet. Llanelli couldn't hit a barn door with a banjo at the moment, while Haverfordwest are keeping clean sheets for fun.

Key Points:

• Llanelli have won 0 of their last 10 games, conceding 26 goals (2.6 per game average)

• Haverfordwest have won 6 of their last 10, keeping 7 clean sheets (70% clean sheet rate)

• Haverfordwest beat Llanelli 3-0 in the reverse fixture on 26 December

• Llanelli have scored just 0.4 goals per game at home in their last 5 matches

• Haverfordwest are averaging 1.33 goals per game away from home

Summary:

It's not rocket science, is it? Haverfordwest are the form horse and Llanelli are stuck in the mud. The 1.40 on an away win won't buy you a new motor, but it should keep your wallet ticking over. Back the visitors to leave with all three points.