Stevenage vs Cardiff Prediction

Right then lads, we've got a proper cracker on our hands here! Stevenage sitting pretty in 3rd place hosting the league leaders Cardiff - this is what proper football is all about, hey!

Cardiff have been banging them in this season, averaging 1.8 goals per game over their last 10 matches. They've been involved in some proper goal fests recently - that 3-2 win against Huddersfield was belter, and even though they got hammered 5-1 by AFC Wimbledon in the cup, it shows these games can end up with plenty of action. The Bluebirds don't do draws though, which makes things interesting!

Stevenage have been a bit more conservative, but they know how to get the job done at home. They're averaging 1.5 goals per game at their own patch and kept it tight defensively. That 1-0 win at Peterborough was proper quality, and the 0-0 draw at Wigan shows they can dig in when needed.

Looking at the stats, Cardiff love to have a go - they're taking nearly 15 shots per game compared to Stevenage's 9, and they're keeping the ball better too with 57% possession. But here's the thing - Cardiff leak goals at the back, especially away from home where they're shipping 1.4 per game.

Stevenage have been solid defensively at home, only letting in 1.17 per game, but they've shown they can be got at. That 1-2 loss to Walsall in the trophy was a bit of a shocker.

With Cardiff's all-or-nothing approach and Stevenage's decent home form, I reckon we're in for a proper entertaining match with goals at both ends. Cardiff's games have been averaging over 2 goals per game recently, and with both teams needing the points, I expect an open game.