Cagliari vs Sassuolo Prediction

Sassuolo's Away Woes Continue in Sardinia

Preview

Right then, let's get down to business! We've got two teams stuck in the bottom half of Serie A, but one of them has a massive problem when they travel. Cagliari might be sitting 14th, but they know how to handle Sassuolo at home - unbeaten in four meetings here!

Looking at the recent form, Cagliari have been grinding out results. That 2-2 draw with Verona shows they can score, but they've also kept it tight against decent sides like Udinese (1-1 away). The home form is balanced, but they're averaging 1.33 goals at home which isn't too shabby.

Now Sassuolo... ag, man! Their away form is shocking stuff. Zero wins in six away games this season, scoring just 0.67 goals per game on the road. They just lost 0-1 to Roma and could only manage 0-0 against Lecce - both teams struggling themselves! When they traveled to Como in the cup, they got hammered 3-0.

The head-to-head tells the story - Cagliari have never lost at home to Sassuolo in four attempts. Last time out, it was a comfortable 2-0 win. Both teams are struggling for form right now, with declining goal trends, but Sassuolo's away form is the real killer here.

Both teams are conceding around a goal per game, but Sassuolo just can't find the net on their travels. With goal expectancy sitting at just 2.34 total, this looks like another tight, low-scoring affair where Cagliari's home advantage should be the difference.

Match time
Recommended Bet
UNDER 2 5
Odds
1.67
+EV
+8.6%
Estimated Chance65%
Stake & Profit
Stake:-Profit:0.00
Outcome
OPEN