Wolves vs Burnley Prediction

Relegation Six-Pointer: Wolves Host Struggling Burnley

Preview

Right then, let's have a proper look at this basement battle. Two teams who'd both rather be anywhere else than where they are in the table. Wolves are rock bottom with just 2 points from 8 games - not won a single league match all season. Burnley aren't much better off in 17th with 7 points.

Wolves have been proper shocking in front of goal lately. They've only found the net once in their last three Premier League games - that's not gonna get you three points, is it? They did manage a couple of draws recently (1-1 with Brighton and 1-1 with Tottenham), but before that they lost five on the bounce. Their two wins this season came in the League Cup, which doesn't help them climb out of this mess.

Burnley's away form is absolutely woeful - lost all four of their away games this season and are shipping goals for fun on the road (3.25 per away game!). They did just beat Leeds 2-0 at home, which might give them a bit of confidence, but playing away is a different kettle of fish entirely.

When these two have met before, it's been pretty even overall, but Wolves have done well at home against Burnley - won 3 out of 5 at their place.

Looking at the stats, both teams are struggling to put the ball in the net. Wolves are averaging 1 goal per game, but only 0.67 in their last three. Burnley score 1.2 overall but drop to just 1 away from home. With both attacks misfiring and the pressure of a relegation battle, I'm expecting a tight, nervy affair.

Key Points:

  • Wolves are winless in the Premier League this season (0 wins, 2 draws, 6 losses)
  • Burnley have lost all 4 away games this season, conceding 3.25 goals per away game
  • Wolves have only scored 1 goal in their last 3 league games
  • Burnley kept a clean sheet in their last match (2-0 vs Leeds)
  • Wolves have a good home record vs Burnley historically (3-1-1)
  • Both teams are in the bottom three of the Premier League table

This has all the makings of a proper scrap at the bottom. Neither team can afford to lose, which often leads to cagey, defensive football. With both attacks firing blanks and the pressure mounting, I'm backing this to stay under 2.5 goals.

Match time
Recommended Bet
UNDER 2 5
Odds
3.15
+EV
+79.5%
Estimated Chance57%
Stake & Profit
Stake:-Profit:0.00
Outcome
OPEN