WSPG Wels vs SKN ST. Polten Prediction

Right then, let's have a proper look at this one. We've got the league leaders SKN ST. Polten making the trip to face WSPG Wels, who're sitting down in 12th spot. On paper, this looks like a mismatch, but football's not played on paper, is it?

Polten are sitting pretty at the top with 28 points from 13 games, but here's the thing - their recent form's gone a bit wobbly. They've lost three of their last five matches, including a shock 0-2 home defeat to Floridsdorfer AC. Away from home, they've been shipping goals too - conceding 1.75 per game on their travels and losing two of their last four on the road.

Wels, meanwhile, have been struggling overall but they've been a different beast at home lately. They've only been conceding one goal per game on their own patch, and look at their recent home results: 0-0 with First Vienna, 1-1 with Bregenz, that cracking 3-2 win over Rapid Wien II, and another 1-1 with Liefering. Four unders in their last five home games tells a story, doesn't it?

The only previous meeting this season ended 2-2, so these teams know how to find the net against each other. But Wels have tightened up defensively at home, and Polten's been a bit leaky on the road recently.

Both teams score in 60% of their games, but with Wels keeping it tight at home and Polten's recent defensive issues away, I'm leaning towards a cagey affair rather than a goal fest.