Atlas vs Leon Prediction

Right then, let's have a proper look at this basement battle between Atlas and Leon. Two sides struggling at the wrong end of the table, and blimey, there's goals written all over this one.

Atlas are sitting 13th with 13 points, while Leon are just below them in 14th on 12 points. Proper six-pointer this, but don't expect a cagey affair - these two couldn't keep a clean sheet between them if their lives depended on it!

The home side have been shipping goals for fun lately. Ten games played, and not a single clean sheet to their name. They're conceding 2.5 goals per game on average, but here's the thing - they're also scoring at home, netting 2.0 per game at their own gaff. Recent results tell the story: that 3-3 thriller against Queretaro, a 3-2 win over Necaxa, and even in defeat they were finding the net.

Leon, on the other hand, have been proper shocking in front of goal lately. Just 0.8 goals per game over their last ten, and their away form is even worse - 0.86 goals per game on their travels. But here's where it gets interesting - they've got the Indian sign over Atlas historically. Five wins in nine meetings, and they've won three of the four trips to Atlas's patch.

The stats don't lie here. Atlas's games have seen both teams score 80% of the time, and with their defence being about as solid as a chocolate teapot, you'd expect Leon to get on the scoresheet. The goal expectancy has this one down for 3.56 goals, which suggests we're in for a proper end-to-end affair.

Leon's recent Liga MX form has been dire though - getting stuffed 5-0 by Tijuana and losing 2-0 to both Santos Laguna and FC Juarez. But against this Atlas defence? Even a misfiring attack might fancy their chances.

The bookies have got Leon as slight favorites at 2.35, which tells you all you need to know about the head-to-head record. But for me, the value's in the both teams to score market. Atlas can't defend, Leon can't attack away from home, but something's got to give, right?