Excelsior vs Groningen Prediction

Ag man, this one's looking tasty! Excelsior might be sitting 13th in the table, but these boys are playing some proper football lately. They just went to Ajax and came back with a 2-1 win - that's no small feat, boet! Their recent form shows 4 wins in their last 10 games, picking up 1.40 points per game, which is better than Groningen's 1.10.

Groningen might be sitting 8th with 4 more points, but their away form is shocking, hey! They're conceding 2.2 goals per game on the road and have only managed 1 clean sheet in their last 10 matches. They just got battered 2-0 by Ajax, and before that lost 2-0 to NEC Nijmegen. Not the kind of form you want when you're traveling.

Excelsior at home is a different beast altogether - they're keeping it tight at the back with only 1 goal conceded per game at home. They've also kept 3 clean sheets in their last 10, compared to Groningen's pathetic 1. The head-to-head might favor Groningen historically (5 wins to 2), but form over history any day of the week, my friend!

Both teams are scoring similar amounts (1.1 goals per game), but with Groningen's leaky defense and Excelsior's confidence after that Ajax win, I'm backing the home side here. The odds of 3.20 for an Excelsior win look like proper value - these boys are on the up while Groningen are struggling away from home.