Burnley vs Chelsea Prediction

Right then, let's have a proper look at this one. Chelsea come marching into town sitting pretty in 3rd place with 20 points, while Burnley are scrapping for their lives down in 17th with just 10 points on the board. The gulf in class here is massive, mate.

Chelsea have been banging them in lately - 2.3 goals per game over their last 10 matches, and they're even better away from home, averaging 2.5 goals on their travels. They've been proper solid too, winning 7 of their last 10 games. Only blips were a 2-1 loss to Sunderland and that 3-1 beating by Brighton.

Burnley, bless 'em, are having a right old time of it. Two wins in their last 10 says it all really. They can score though - netted three at Wolves and two against Leeds at home. But their defence? Leakier than a sieve, mate. Conceding 2.1 goals per game on average, and they've let in three or more in four of their last 10.

Now here's the killer stat for you Burnley fans - they have NEVER beaten Chelsea in the Premier League. Not once! Nine meetings, zero wins for the Clarets. At home? Four attempts, four failures. Chelsea just have their number, simple as that.

But here's where it gets interesting for us punters. Despite Burnley's struggles, they do tend to find the net at home. They've scored in 70% of their recent games, and even in that 5-1 hammering by Man City, they still got one. Chelsea, meanwhile, are scoring for fun but have kept only 4 clean sheets in 10 games.

So while Chelsea winning looks about as certain as things get in this game (priced at 1.53), I'm looking at the Both Teams To Score market. At 1.95, it's offering proper value. I reckon we'll see goals at both ends - Burnley will likely get one in front of their own fans, but Chelsea's firepower should see them home comfortably.