Sheffield Wednesday vs Middlesbrough Prediction
Boro to Feast on Wednesday's Woes
Preview
Ag man, this one looks like a braai where one team brought the meat and the other brought... well, nothing! Let's break it down properly.
Sheffield Wednesday are having a proper kak time of it, sitting rock bottom of the Championship with only 6 points from 10 games. Their home form is shockingly bad - 0% win rate at home, scoring just 0.33 goals per game while leaking 2.17. They got hammered 0-5 by Coventry at home recently and lost 2-1 to Charlton in their last outing. The Owls have managed only one win in their last 10 matches, and that was away from home.
On the other side, Middlesbrough are flying high in 2nd place with 21 points. They've been solid on the road too, winning 40% of their away games while scoring 1.6 goals per game and keeping it tight at the back with only 1.0 conceded. Boro's only loss in the last six league games was a narrow 1-0 defeat at Portsmouth.
Now, I know what you're thinking - the head-to-head actually favors Wednesday historically (4 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses), and they even won the last meeting 2-1. But form counts for everything in football, and right now there's a massive gap between these two teams.
The stats don't lie - Wednesday are averaging just 1.33 shots on target at home, while Boro are managing 2.8 on their travels. The possession and pass accuracy numbers also show Boro's superiority.
This looks like a straightforward away win for me. Boro are in form, Wednesday are struggling badly at home, and the quality gap is huge. Sometimes you just have to back the team that's actually winning games!