Burnley vs Arsenal Prediction

Arsenal's Fortress Faces Burnley's Battlers

Preview

Right then, let's have a proper look at this one. Arsenal are absolutely flying at the top of the table, and frankly, they look unstoppable. Nine wins and a draw from their last ten games? That's proper title-winning form, that is. They've only let in two goals all season - TWO! Eight clean sheets out of ten matches tells you everything you need to know about their defence.

Burnley, bless 'em, are having a right old battle down in 16th. They've had some decent results lately, mind - beating Wolves 3-2 and Leeds 2-0 shows they can score goals at home. But when they've faced the big boys, it's been tough going. That 5-1 hammering by Man City and 2-1 loss to Villa shows the gap in quality.

Now here's the killer stat: Burnley have NEVER beaten Arsenal at home. Not once. Five meetings, three draws, and Arsenal have won the lot. Last time these two met, it ended 0-5. Ouch.

Arsenal's away form is perfect this season - 100% win rate. They're averaging nearly two goals a game on their travels and barely conceding anything. Burnley do score at home (1.33 per game), but against this Arsenal defence? I'm not so sure.

The only worry for Arsenal might be fatigue - they've had four games in two weeks while Burnley have been chilling with just one. But when you're playing this well, sometimes you just keep rolling.

Looking at the numbers, Arsenal's defence is just too good. They keep clean sheets 80% of the time, and Burnley haven't shown they can break down top-tier defences. The Both Teams to Score No market at 1.66 looks tasty to me.

Match time
Recommended Bet
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE NO
Odds
1.66
+EV
+7.9%
Estimated Chance65%
Stake & Profit
Stake:-Profit:0.00
Outcome
OPEN