Vitesse vs Roda Prediction

Roda Ready to Rock Bottom Vitesse

Preview

Right then, let's have a proper look at this one. On paper, it's a tale of two teams going in completely opposite directions. Vitesse are propping up the entire Eerste Divisie table with just 2 points from 9 games - that's proper relegation form, that is. Roda, meanwhile, are sitting pretty in 3rd place with 24 points and looking like they mean business this season.

Now, here's where it gets interesting. The head-to-head record screams Vitesse all day long - they've won 7 of the 9 meetings, including an 80% home win rate against Roda. Last time they met, Vitesse put three past them without reply. But that was back in April, and football's a funny old game - form trumps history most of the time.

And Roda's form? Absolutely scorching. They've won 4 of their last 5, including that ridiculous 6-0 hammering of Den Bosch. Their away form is particularly tasty - 75% win rate in their last 4 trips on the road. Vitesse have been all over the shop - one minute they're putting 4 past FC Eindhoven, the next they're getting stuffed 4-0 by Jong AZ.

Both teams like a goal, mind you. Vitesse are averaging 1.8 scored and 1.5 conceded per game, while Roda are netting 1.9 and letting in 1.3. Sixty percent of both teams' recent games have seen both sides find the net, so we're likely in for some goalmouth action.

The bookies have Roda as favorites at 2.00, which tells you everything about how they view this matchup despite Vitesse's historical dominance. And looking at the league table and current form, it's hard to argue with that assessment.

Vitesse have had an extra 3 days to prepare (7 vs 4 days rest), but when you're rock bottom and your opponents are flying high in 3rd, rest days only get you so far. Roda are improving across the board - scoring more, conceding less, picking up more points. Vitesse are trending the opposite way.

Sometimes you've got to ignore the history books and go with what you're seeing right now. And right now, Roda look like they'll have too much quality for a struggling Vitesse side.

Match time
Recommended Bet
AWAY WIN
Odds
2.00
+EV
+20.0%
Estimated Chance60%
Stake & Profit
Stake:-Profit:0.00
Outcome
OPEN