Charleroi vs KVC Westerlo Prediction

Right then, let's have a proper look at this Belgian basement battle. Two sides stuck on 15 points, but that's where the similarities end, mate.

Charleroi have been a proper Jekyll and Hyde outfit lately. One minute they're banging in wins against the big boys - that 1-0 over Anderlecht was proper tasty - next they're getting spanked 3-1 by Standard Liege. But here's the thing: at home, they're not half bad. Five wins from their last ten overall, and when they face Westerlo on their own patch, it's usually one-way traffic.

Speaking of Westerlo, blimey, their away form is shocking. Zero wins on the road this season, and they're shipping three goals a game away from home! Three! That's pub league defending, that is. They did have that mad 5-5 draw with Club Brugge, but let's be honest, that was probably a one-off. Recent form's been proper gash - one point from their last three league games, including a draw with bottom-dwellers Dender.

Now, the head-to-head tells you everything you need to know. Charleroi have absolutely owned this fixture over the years - seven wins from nine meetings. At home, it's even better: four wins, one loss. Westerlo just don't like the trip to Charleroi, simple as that.

Both teams tend to find the net in this fixture (six of the last nine both scored), and with Westerlo's defensive woes on the road, we could be in for a few goals. But I'm backing the home side to do the business. Charleroi have got the form, the home advantage, and the psychological edge from absolutely battering these lot over the years.

The odds of 2.10 for a home win look decent value to me. Westerlo are there for the taking on their travels, and Charleroi should have enough to nick the three points.