Eintracht Frankfurt vs FC Augsburg Prediction

After a proper pasting at the hands of RB Leipzig, Eintracht Frankfurt will be glad to be back on home turf this weekend. They welcome an FC Augsburg side who, let's be honest, have been about as useful as a chocolate teapot on their travels this season.

Frankfurt sit 7th, a comfortable eight points and seven places above their visitors. Their form has been a mixed bag, mind you. They've taken some heavy knocks recently, losing 6-0 away at Leipzig and 2-1 to Barcelona. But dig a little deeper and you'll see those were against the real top dogs. At home, it's a different story. They're much tighter, conceding just one goal per game on average. Results like the 1-0 win over Mainz and the 2-0 victory against St. Pauli show they know how to get the job done in front of their own fans.

Augsburg, on the other hand, are a classic case of Jekyll and Hyde. At home, they can pull off a shock like last week's 2-0 win over Bayer Leverkusen. But take them on the road and it's a different kettle of fish. They've not won any of their last four away trips, shipping a whopping 2.25 goals per game in the process. Losses at Hoffenheim (3-0) and Stuttgart (3-2) tell the story of a side that struggles to keep it tight when they're not in their own backyard.

When these two meet, history says it's usually a close one. Frankfurt haven't lost at home to Augsburg in five attempts, but they've only won two of those, drawing the other three. The last meeting finished 0-0. So while Frankfurt have the edge, it's rarely a walk in the park.

Key Points:

Home Comforts: Frankfurt concede just 1.00 goals per game at home, compared to 2.40 on the road.

Away Day Blues: Augsburg have a 0% win rate in their last four away games, conceding 2.25 goals per match.

Head-to-Head: Frankfurt are unbeaten in their last five home games against Augsburg (2 wins, 3 draws).

Form Check: Frankfurt's recent losses were against elite opposition (Barcelona, Leipzig). Augsburg's big win came at home, not away.

• Fatigue Factor: Frankfurt have had just four days' rest after a midweek game, while Augsburg have had a full week to prepare.

So, what's the verdict? Augsburg's away form is a major red flag. Frankfurt, despite a couple of bruising results, are a much better proposition at home where they are solid. The odds of 1.70 for a home win look fair, and I fancy Frankfurt to get back on track here. It might not be a thriller, but they should have enough to see off a side that consistently struggles on the road.