FC Thun vs FC ST. Gallen Prediction

Alright, listen up! We've got what looks like a top-of-the-table clash in the Swiss Super League, but let's be honest - this is more like the champions-elect against the best of the rest. FC Thun are absolutely flying at the summit, 14 points clear and looking unstoppable, while FC St. Gallen are hanging onto second spot but struggling to keep pace with the runaway leaders.

Thun's form is nothing short of sensational. Nine wins from their last ten, banging in 30 goals along the way - that's three a game for those counting. At home, they've been even more ruthless, winning their last five on the spin and averaging nearly four goals a pop. We're talking about a side that put five past Lausanne, four past Young Boys, and seven past Wil in a friendly. Even when they're being 'professional,' they're grinding out 2-1 wins against decent sides like Luzern and Basel. This lot know how to win, and they know how to score.

Now, St. Gallen aren't exactly mugs - they are second in the table after all. They've only lost once in their last ten and they're tricky customers away from home, unbeaten in their last four on the road. But here's the rub: three of those four were draws. They've been sharing the spoils with mid-table sides like Luzern and Lausanne, and while they put five past basement boys Winterthur, they haven't faced anything like Thun's firepower on their travels recently.

There is a bit of a bogey team element here, mind. St. Gallen have had the measure of Thun in recent meetings, winning the reverse fixture 2-0 back in December, and Thun's home record against these lot is patchy at best - just one win from five hosting this fixture. So the 2.10 on offer for a home win suggests the bookies haven't forgotten that history.

But form is form, and Thun are playing like a side that knows the title is theirs. St. Gallen's away day resilience is admirable, but they've been drawing against teams that Thun have been brushing aside. The league leaders' attack is too hot to handle right now, and while St. Gallen might nick one, I can't see them stopping the Thun juggernaut.

Key Points:

• Thun have won 9 of their last 10 matches, scoring 30 goals (3.0 per game) and conceding just 7

• St. Gallen are unbeaten in 4 away games but have drawn 3 of them, showing a tendency to stalemate on the road

• Thun have won their last 5 home games with a 100% record, averaging 3.8 goals per game

• St. Gallen won the reverse fixture 2-0 in December and hold a 4-3 advantage in the last 9 meetings

• Thun are 14 points clear at the top of the Super League with 21 wins from 27 games

Summary: Despite the historical head-to-head favouring the visitors, Thun's current form is irresistible. At 2.10, there's value in backing the league leaders to continue their march to the title. Home win for me.