IFK Norrkoping vs Landskrona BoIS Prediction

Right then, let’s have a proper look at this Superettan clash between IFK Norrkoping and Landskrona BoIS. It’s a straightforward affair on paper, but we’ll dig into the numbers to see where the value lies. Norrkoping sit 4th in the table with 6 points from 3 games, while BoIS are languishing in 12th place with just 3 points. The home side has been busy, picking up 6 wins in their last 10 outings, averaging 2.10 goals a game. The visitors, meanwhile, have only managed 2 wins in their last 10, scoring just 1.10 goals per match.

Now, let’s talk venue. Norrkoping have been absolute machines at home. In their last 3 home games, they’ve won 100% of them, scoring a whopping 3.33 goals per game while keeping a clean sheet every single time. That’s the kind of graft that wins leagues. On the flip side, Landskrona BoIS are practically non-existent on the road. In their last 5 away fixtures, they’ve won 0% of them, managing a dismal 0.20 goals per game and conceding 1.60. They simply don’t score away from home.

The head-to-head record is thin, with just one meeting on 28 February 2026, which Norrkoping won 2-0. That cup tie showed exactly what we’re seeing in the stats: the home side dominates possession and chances, while BoIS struggle to find the net. Norrkoping’s form is trending upwards, with improving goals scored and conceded metrics. BoIS, on the other hand, are seeing their scoring output decline, which is a worrying sign for the visitors.

Let’s look at the bookies’ prices. A Norrkoping win is priced at 1.57, which translates to an implied probability of about 63.7%. Given the venue splits—100% home win rate versus 0% away win rate—the actual likelihood of a home victory is comfortably higher than that. That gives us a solid edge. The Over 2.5 Goals market sits at 1.53, but the fair probability is closer to 62%, meaning the odds don’t offer enough value. Same story for Both Teams to Score at 1.60, where the fair chance is around 59%. The maths simply doesn’t back the goals markets.

When you strip away the noise, this is a classic case of a strong home side taking on a struggling away side. Norrkoping’s attack is firing, their defence is solid at home, and BoIS can’t muster a single away win or goal. The numbers point clearly to the hosts. We’ll stick to what the data says: back the home win.

Key Points:

• IFK Norrkoping: 100% home win rate in last 3 games, averaging 3.33 goals scored and 0 conceded.

• Landskrona BoIS: 0% away win rate in last 5 games, averaging just 0.20 goals scored.

• H2H: Norrkoping won the only previous meeting 2-0.

• Value: Home win at 1.57 offers a clear edge over the implied probability.

The data is clear: IFK Norrkoping are dominant at home while Landskrona BoIS struggle on the road. With a 100% home win rate and a 0% away win rate for the visitors, the value lies with the hosts. Recommended bet: Home Win.