Preview
Mr SimpleAlright, listen up! We've got a tasty one from the Eerste Divisie on Friday night as Den Bosch try to get their own back on a Roda side that absolutely battered them 6-0 earlier this season. Yeah, you read that right - six-nil! Can the home side get revenge, or will the visitors from Kerkrade dish out another proper hiding?
Den Bosch have been struggling lately, mate. Only two wins in their last ten - a narrow 2-1 against FC Eindhoven and a 2-0 against Vitesse. Other than that, it's been grim. They just drew 2-2 away at Jong AZ, which ain't terrible, but before that they got turned over 2-0 by lowly Helmond Sport and lost 3-2 at Dordrecht. At home, they're winning just one in three - not exactly fortress material, is it?
Now Roda, they're a different kettle of fish. Sitting pretty in 5th, seven points clear of Den Bosch, and they've got the bit between their teeth. Four wins from their last ten, including a cracking 2-1 win away at Waalwijk and another 2-1 victory at Almere City - who've been decent this season. They put two past MVV last time out in a 2-0 win, and here's the kicker: away from home, they're averaging 2.4 goals per game! That's proper attacking intent.
The head-to-head makes grim reading for the home fans. Roda have won four of the last nine meetings, and that 6-0 demolition in October is still fresh in the memory. Den Bosch have only beaten Roda twice in nine attempts, and even at home they've only won one of four against them.
With Roda's away form (60% win rate on the road) against Den Bosch's mediocre home record (33% wins), the value is clear. The bookies have Roda at 2.40, which is a cracking price for a side that's shown they're miles better than this Den Bosch lot.
Key Points:
• Den Bosch have won just 2 of their last 10 matches (20% win rate)
• Roda are scoring 2.4 goals per game away from home
• Roda won the reverse fixture 6-0 earlier this season
• Den Bosch conceded 16 goals in their last 10 games (1.6 per game)
• Roda have won 60% of their away games recently
Summary: Roda are the better side by a country mile, and at 2.40, they represent proper value. Back the away win.