Enfield Town vs Worthing Prediction

Right, grab a pint and let's crack on with Enfield Town hosting Worthing in the National League South. It's the season finale approaching, and the gap between these two is simply massive. Worthing are sitting pretty in 2nd place with 71 points, while Enfield Town are down near the bottom in 22nd with just 35 points. That's a 36-point difference. You don't see gaps like that often, and the bookies know it too.

Look at the head-to-head record, and it's not pretty for the hosts. In their last six meetings, Enfield Town hasn't won a single game. Worthing has taken 4 wins, with two draws. The last time they met, it was a 0-0 draw, but historically, Worthing has scored 14 goals in those matches against Enfield's 5. That's a dominant record.

Form-wise, the visitors are flying. Worthing have won 6 of their last 10 games, averaging 1.8 goals a game. Enfield have won 3 of their last 10, but they're leaking goals at a rate of 1.90 per game. At home, Enfield concedes 1.33 goals a game, while Worthing away concedes 1.20 but scores 1.40. The goal expectancy sits at 2.72 total goals, which hints at plenty of action, but the safest call is who takes the three points.

With Enfield having zero wins in the H2H and Worthing sitting in the promotion spots while Enfield is fighting relegation, the value is clear. The odds of 1.48 for an away win reflect this, but given the history and the points gap, it feels like a very likely outcome.

Key Points:

Worthing sit 2nd with 71 points; Enfield are 22nd with 35 points.

H2H: Enfield Town has 0 wins in the last 6 meetings.

Worthing have won 6 of their last 10 games; Enfield 3 of 10.

Goal expectancy suggests around 2.72 total goals.

• Worthing away goals scored average: 1.40.

Summary:

The data points heavily towards the visitors. Enfield have never beaten Worthing in this fixture recently. I'm backing the visitors to get the job done with an Away Win.