Heart Of Midlothian vs Dundee Prediction

Right then, let's have a proper look at this one. Hearts are absolutely flying this season, sitting pretty at the top of the table without a single loss to their name. Ten games played, eight wins, two draws - that's proper title-chasing form, that is. They're banging in goals for fun too, averaging 2.3 per game, and at home they're even better with 2.5 goals per match.

Dundee, on the other hand, are having a right old time of it down in 11th place. Only nine points from ten games, and here's the killer stat - they haven't won a single away game all season. Zero wins from five on the road, and they're only managing to score a pathetic 0.4 goals per game when travelling. That's not just bad, that's relegation-bad.

Looking at recent results, Hearts just came off a 2-2 draw with ST Mirren, which might be a slight dip, but before that they smashed Celtic 3-1 at home. They've also put three past Kilmarnock away and beaten Rangers 2-0 on their own patch. This team knows how to win.

Dundee's recent form reads like a horror story: lost 2-1 to Falkirk, got hammered 4-0 by Aberdeen, and could only manage a 0-0 draw with Kilmarnock. Their only bright spot was a 2-0 home win over Celtic, but that was at their place, not on the road where they simply can't score.

The head-to-head tells the same story - Hearts have won four out of five at home against Dundee, including a 6-0 thumping last season. Dundee's away record against Hearts is woeful.

When you look at the stats, Hearts are averaging 15.89 shots per game to Dundee's 7.90. That's more than double. Hearts are also much more accurate with their shooting (40.3% vs 31.5%) and have way more possession (52.1% vs 36.6%).

The odds for a Hearts win are short at 1.36, and while they're probably the right result, I'm looking for better value. Dundee simply don't score away from home - just 0.4 goals per game on the road. Hearts might concede one now and then, but the chances of Dundee finding the net are slim to none.