Leeds vs West Ham Prediction

Leeds vs West Ham: Battle of the Basement

Preview

Right then, let's have a proper look at this one. Two teams staring at each other from the wrong end of the table, and someone's got to blink. Leeds are sitting 16th with 8 points, while West Ham are propping up the table with just 4 points from 8 games. Proper relegation six-pointer, this.

Leeds have been a bit hit and miss lately, haven't they? They lost 0-2 to Burnley in their last outing, got beaten 1-2 by Tottenham at home, but did manage a 2-2 draw with Bournemouth. The only bright spark recently was that 3-1 win at Wolves. At home, they're not exactly setting the world alight - 20% wins, 60% draws, 20% losses from their last five at their own gaff. They average less than a goal per game (0.9) but concede 1.5, which ain't great.

West Ham, though? Blimey, they're in a right mess. One point from their last five games, shipping goals like there's no tomorrow. They lost 0-2 to Brentford, got stuffed 0-2 by Arsenal, and could only manage a 1-1 draw with Everton. Away from home, they're absolutely dreadful - 60% loss rate and conceding 1.8 goals per game on their travels. Only 20% win rate away, and that tells its own story.

Head-to-head, Leeds have got a shocking record against West Ham - only 1 win in 8 meetings. At home against the Hammers, they've never won in 4 attempts (0 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses). But form often trumps history, and West Ham's current form is abysmal.

Both teams tend to concede, and both teams score in 50% of their games. But Leeds are at home, and West Ham are leaking goals for fun on the road. The Hammers have conceded 22 goals in their last 10 games - that's more than 2 per game!

Leeds might not be world-beaters, but they're hard to beat at home. West Ham are there for the taking, especially away from home. Sometimes you've got to back the team that's simply not as bad as the other one.

Match time
Recommended Bet
HOME WIN
Odds
1.83
+EV
+6.1%
Estimated Chance58%
Stake & Profit
Stake:-Profit:0.00
Outcome
OPEN