SKU Amstetten vs Floridsdorfer AC Prediction

Tight Tussle in Amstetten

Preview

Right then, let's have a proper look at this little number between two sides who are dead level on points in the Austrian 2. Liga. It's like looking in a mirror, innit? Both teams sitting pretty on 17 points, both with the same goal difference, and both knowing a win could see them climb the table.

Amstetten have been proper hard to beat lately, losing just one of their last ten games. They've been solid at home too, winning 60% of their home fixtures and banging in two goals per game on their own patch. Recent results show they know how to keep it tight - clean sheets against Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz and SV Kapfenberg, plus a goalless draw against a decent Austria Vienna (Am) side.

Floridsdorfer, on the other hand, are a bit of a Jekyll and Hyde outfit. They've been brilliant defensively on their travels, conceding just 0.25 goals per away game - that's proper stingy, that is. They've kept five clean sheets in their last ten games, which tells you they know how to defend. But they've also been a bit inconsistent, losing four of their last ten.

When these two have met before, it's usually been a tight affair. Out of nine previous meetings, only four have seen over 2.5 goals. The last five encounters have been particularly cagey: 0-1, 2-1, 3-2, 0-0, and 0-0. That's three games with two goals or fewer in the last five meetings.

Both teams average under 1.6 goals scored per game this season, and both concede less than a goal per game. With so much at stake and both teams being evenly matched, I'm expecting a proper tactical battle rather than a goal fest.

The bookies have got Under 2.5 goals at 1.85, which looks about right to me. Both sides have shown they can defend properly, and with neither wanting to lose ground in the table, we might see them play it safe.

Match time
Recommended Bet
UNDER 2 5
Odds
1.85
+EV
+20.3%
Estimated Chance65%
Stake & Profit
Stake:-Profit:0.00
Outcome
OPEN