Union Santa Fe vs Defensa Y Justicia Prediction

Right then, let's have a proper look at this Liga Profesional clash between Union Santa Fe and Defensa Y Justicia. On paper, you'd think the visitors might have the edge sitting pretty in 2nd place, but football's never that simple, is it?

Union Santa Fe have been a bit of a mixed bag lately. They've had some proper hammerings - remember that 4-0 thumping of Instituto Cordoba and the 3-1 win over Gimnasia? But recently they've gone a bit cold at home, failing to win any of their last four on their own patch. Three draws and a loss doesn't make for great reading, especially when you're only averaging 0.75 goals per game at home. They're shipping goals too - 1.25 per game at home ain't great.

Defensa Y Justicia, despite sitting higher up the table, have got their own problems on the road. Zero wins in their last four away trips tells its own story, doesn't it? Two draws and two defeats, and they're only managing 0.75 goals per game away from home. They've had some decent results though - that 1-0 win over Argentinos JRS was proper tidy, and beating Boca Juniors 2-1 shows they can turn it on when they want.

When these two have met, it's been cagey stuff. Five of the last six meetings have ended in draws, including both fixtures last season. The head-to-head record shows Defensa just edging it overall, but at Santa Fe's place, it's pretty even - one win each and two draws from four meetings.

Both teams are coming into this fresh with 11 days' rest, so no excuses there. The stats are screaming low-scoring affair - both sides averaging under a goal at this venue, and recent meetings have been tighter than a Scotsman at closing time.

Key Points:

• Union Santa Fe haven't won any of their last 4 home games (3D, 1L)

• Defensa Y Justicia haven't won any of their last 4 away games (2D, 2L)

• 5 of the last 6 head-to-head meetings have ended in draws

• Both teams average just 0.75 goals per game at this venue

• Recent meetings have been tight, low-scoring affairs

Looking at the numbers, this has 'draw' written all over it. Both teams are struggling to win at this venue, the head-to-head is full of stalemates, and neither side is banging in the goals. The under 2.5 goals market looks tempting at 1.50, but given how cagey these matches have been, I'm leaning towards a draw. Both teams seem content to cancel each other out, and that 3.25 for the draw might just be worth a punt.