Union Berlin vs Bayern München Prediction

Alright lads, let's have a proper gander at this one. It's the Bundesliga leaders Bayern München, who are absolutely smashing it this season, rolling up to 10th-placed Union Berlin's patch.

Bayern are having an absolute dream season so far - perfect record, 9 wins from 9 games, scoring for fun at 3.4 goals per game. They've just come off beating PSG 2-1 away in the Champions League, then smashed Bayer Leverkusen 3-0 at home. Their away form is ridiculous too - 100% win rate on their travels, averaging 3.5 goals per game away from home. They're taking no prisoners this season.

Union, bless 'em, are having a bit of a mixed time of it. Two 0-0 draws in their last two home games against Freiburg and Hamburg SV won't have the fans jumping for joy. They did put three past Gladbach a few weeks back, but they've also struggled against the better sides, losing to Bremen, Leverkusen, and Dortmund. At home though, they're not completely useless - 33% win rate and half their home games ending in draws.

Now, the head-to-head makes for grim reading if you're a Union fan. Eight meetings, zero wins for Union, two draws, six losses. They've managed just five goals in those matches while shipping 23. But here's the interesting bit - both teams have scored in half of those meetings, and five have gone over 2.5 goals.

Looking at the numbers, Bayern are averaging nearly 20 shots per game with proper accuracy, while Union are only managing 14 shots. Bayern dominate possession with 60% compared to Union's 35%. It's chalk and cheese really.

The odds have Bayern as massive favorites at 1.27, which is about as exciting as watching paint dry. Union are 10.00 for the shock, and it's 6.50 for the draw. But where's the value?

Well, Union have been scoring at home - netting in 4 of their last 5 home games. And while Bayern are solid, they have conceded in 5 of their 10 away games this season. With Bayern's attack firing on all cylinders and Union's home crowd behind them, we could see both teams get on the scoresheet here.

Key Points:

• Bayern have perfect 9/9 record in Bundesliga

• Union unbeaten in 3 of last 4 home games (2 draws, 1 win)

• Head-to-head: Union have never beaten Bayern in 8 attempts

• Both teams scored in 4 of 8 previous meetings

• Bayern averaging 3.4 goals per game, Union scoring 1.2 per game

Bayern will probably win this, but at 1.27 there's no value in that. The both teams to score market at 1.80 looks more interesting. Union have been finding the net at home, and Bayern aren't invincible at the back. Given Bayern's attacking firepower and Union's home scoring form, I reckon both teams will score.