Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Sichuan Jiuniu Prediction

Greetings from Pajimon! Time for some meat, no vegetables. We're looking at Chongqing Tongliang Long hosting Sichuan Jiuniu in the Super League. Kickoff is 2026-04-17, and the data shows a clear favorite here.

Chongqing Tongliang Long is in red-hot form. They are unbeaten in their last 10 games, with 6 wins and 4 draws. Their defensive record is solid, boasting a 70% clean sheet rate and conceding only 0.50 goals per game on average. At home, they score 1.33 goals per game and concede just 0.67. They are a tough nut to crack.

On the other side, Sichuan Jiuniu is struggling on the road. Their away performance is weak, with a 25% win rate in the last 4 away games. They score only 0.75 goals per game away from home and concede a heavy 2.00 goals per game. Their clean sheet rate is a dismal 10% overall. In their last 10 games, they have lost 5 times.

The stats back up a home win. Chongqing's goal expectancy at home is 1.67, while Sichuan's away goal expectancy is 0.71. With Chongqing's strong defense and Sichuan's leaky away defense, the home side has a clear advantage. The odds for a Home Win are 1.91, implying a 52.3% chance. Given Chongqing's unbeaten run and Sichuan's poor away record, the true probability is likely higher, offering value.

Key Points:

• Chongqing is unbeaten in 10 games (6W, 4D).

• Chongqing Home Goals: 1.33 per game.

• Sichuan Away Goals: 0.75 per game.

• Sichuan Away Conceded: 2.00 per game.

• Chongqing Clean Sheet Rate: 70%.

• Sichuan Clean Sheet Rate: 10%.

Summary: The data points strongly to a Chongqing Tongliang Long victory. They are solid at home, and Sichuan is vulnerable away. The Home Win bet offers value at 1.91.